Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:29:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2614…c50b
crypto · 575 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$47,562 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47,549 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$87
Realized−$47,549
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses213 / 361
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)574 / 575
History coverage4d
Avg bet$344
Trades / day673.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 574 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22,199
7 days−$47,549
14 days−$47,549
30 days−$47,549
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 34¢ 30¢ $100 $87 −$13 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $525 $0 −$525 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $325 $0 −$325 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $620 $0 −$620 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $575 $0 −$575 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $650 $0 −$650 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $124 +$111 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$111 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$26 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $207 +$189 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $208 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $205 +$89 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$94 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $135 −$130 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $113 +$88 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $207 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$91 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$24 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $202 +$38 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$45 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $124 −$120 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$70 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $203 +$60 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $166 −$160 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $166 +$151 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$54 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $414 −$400 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $206 +$140 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$57 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $643 −$620 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $409 +$160 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $412 +$295 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $207 +$189 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$92 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$58 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$94 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $414 −$400 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$35 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $823 −$800 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $877 −$50 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1,067 −$30 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $628 −$50 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $505 −$10 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $253 −$240 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$47,759
sports 0% +$197
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $105 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $184 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $104 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $104 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $104 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $104 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $293 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $102 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $102 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $198 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-41.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 574 -35.5% -41.6% 37% 36% -37.2%
≤30d 574 -35.5% -41.6% 37% 36% -37.2%
≤90d 574 -35.5% -41.6% 37% 36% -37.2%
all 574 -35.5% -41.6% 37% 36% -37.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover673.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.6% 36% -37.2%
10% ← realistic here -47.2% 34% -43.2%
15% -52.3% 31% -48.7%
20% -57.0% 28% -53.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $87.29 · official $128.72 · 2829 history records