Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T18:06:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
26 0x261c…a01c crypto 1483 markets active 1h ago coverage 22d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (71 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$26 (+0%) realized +$26 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR67%break-even
Win rate74%1095W / 388L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day71.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$31
14 days−$31
30 days−$125
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$125
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (71 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -3.3% -12.5% 81% 71% -14.1%
≤30d 1483 -1.5% -10.9% 74% 67% -10.5%
≤90d 1483 -1.5% -10.9% 74% 67% -10.5%
all 1483 -1.5% -10.9% 74% 67% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover71.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 67% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 47% -19.1%
15% -27.2% 26% -26.9%
20% -34.4% 13% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1095 / 388
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1483 / 1483
History coverage22d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day71.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1483 Trades
no open positions (376 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $13 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $13 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $12 +$3 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $13 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$12 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$8 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $8 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $13 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $13 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $13 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $12 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $13 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $12 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $13 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $13 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2659 history records