Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:08:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
26 0x261c…7bf3 crypto 1298 markets active 6d ago coverage 38d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 37d only
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$512 (-8%) realized −$512 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate53%683W / 615L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day58.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$28
14 days−$77
30 days−$484
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$660
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -26.5% -33.5% 37% 37% -32.9%
≤30d 1094 -8.3% -17.0% 52% 51% -18.7%
≤90d 1298 -8.5% -17.2% 53% 52% -19.1%
all 1298 -8.5% -17.2% 53% 52% -19.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 52% -19.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 49% -26.8%
15% -32.4% 42% -33.9%
20% -39.0% 28% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.69 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

38d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$512
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses683 / 615
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1298 / 1298
History coverage38d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day58.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1298 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$10 +456%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +128%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records