trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.8% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 10% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -9.7% | -18.3% | 9% | 0% | -10.5% |
| all | 21 | -10.8% | -19.3% | 38% | 0% | -12.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.3% | 0% | -12.1% |
| 10% | -27.0% | 0% | -20.5% |
| 15% | -34.0% | 0% | -28.2% |
| 20% | -40.5% | 0% | -35.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 22 | $60 | −$2 | -4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $65 | $0 | -0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 17 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 27 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $41 | −$1 | -2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 26 | $38 | +$2 | +4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 25 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 24 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 24 | $61 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Mar 31 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York | Jun 26 | $9 | −$9 | -99% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope? | May 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days? | May 05 | $1 | $0 | -27% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 30 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 24 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 20 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 14-21? | Mar 19 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 15 | $12 | $0 | +0% |