trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +49.0% | +34.8% | 100% | 100% | +34.8% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +75.2% | +58.5% | 100% | 100% | +77.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -7.0% | -15.8% | 56% | 56% | +13.6% |
| all | 9 | -7.0% | -15.8% | 56% | 56% | +13.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.8% | 56% | +13.6% |
| 10% | -23.9% | 56% | +2.7% |
| 15% | -31.2% | 56% | -7.2% |
| 20% | -38.0% | 22% | -16.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 11¢ | $25 | $34 | +$9 (+38%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 74¢ | 44¢ | $20 | $12 | −$8 (-41%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 72¢ | 82¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+15%) |
| Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 62¢ | 42¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-33%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 36¢ | 42¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+15%) |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 30¢ | 16¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-48%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 27¢ | 11¢ | $5 | $2 | −$3 (-59%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-99%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | Jun 10 | $10 | +$5 | +46% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 10 | $10 | +$6 | +59% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | May 19 | $25 | +$38 | +154% |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | May 15 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | May 14 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | May 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | May 03 | $10 | +$4 | +37% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | May 03 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |