Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:07:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2653…39a7
crypto · 390 markets active 5h ago
0.0score
−$5,054 -73%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,054 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$5,054
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses151 / 443
Open positions0
Markets (closed)594 / 390
History coverage20d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day133.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 594 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,575
7 days−$4,391
14 days−$4,653
30 days−$5,054
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 32¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+212%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 31¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+221%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+80%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$8 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$11 +1931%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$55 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$52 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$44 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$8 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$32 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$20 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$19 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$53 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$3 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$14 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$86 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$40 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$38 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$44 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$69 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$8 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$35 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$59 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$31 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$17 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$34 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$16 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$36 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -200%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$610
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-38.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 279 -37.6% -43.6% 22% 21% -35.0%
≤30d 594 -32.2% -38.7% 25% 25% -34.5%
≤90d 594 -32.2% -38.7% 25% 25% -34.5%
all 594 -32.2% -38.7% 25% 25% -34.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover133.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.7% 25% -34.5%
10% ← realistic here -44.6% 24% -40.8%
15% -49.9% 23% -46.5%
20% -54.8% 20% -51.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.89 · official $6.00 · 3500 history records