Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:59:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2653…76e1
crypto · 892 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$19,495 +333%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$314 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized−$314
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses257 / 631
Open positions4
Markets (closed)888 / 892
History coverage2d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day1060.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 4 History 888 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$142
7 days−$314
14 days−$314
30 days−$314
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 73¢ 98¢ $22 $30 +$8 (+35%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 33¢ 4¢ $8 $1 −$7 (-89%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 16¢ 2¢ $5 $0 −$4 (-90%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 44¢ 2¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-97%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 11¢ 2¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-86%)
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$3 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +87%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$8 +37%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +195%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$23 +333%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$22 +78%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$9 +170%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$13 +156%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$7 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -65%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$6 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$4 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$9 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$402
other 15% +$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $9 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $7 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $13 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $11 22m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $11 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 888 -12.7% -21.0% 29% 26% -14.5%
≤30d 888 -12.7% -21.0% 29% 26% -14.5%
≤90d 888 -12.7% -21.0% 29% 26% -14.5%
all 888 -12.7% -21.0% 29% 26% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1060.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.0% 26% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -28.6% 22% -22.7%
15% -35.5% 19% -30.1%
20% -41.8% 18% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.67 · official $41.90 · 3500 history records