Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:09:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2655…e915
other · 7 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses1 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit29%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 +$4 +413%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 $0 -7%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 −$1 -33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 78% +$1
sports 22% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 4m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 9m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 31¢ $1 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 3h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 1¢ $1 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $2 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)+1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +12.1% +1.4% 17% 17% -7.9%
≤30d 6 +12.1% +1.4% 17% 17% -7.9%
≤90d 6 +12.1% +1.4% 17% 17% -7.9%
all 6 +12.1% +1.4% 17% 17% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.4% 17% -7.9%
10% -8.3% 17% -16.7%
15% -17.2% 17% -24.7%
20% -25.3% 17% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.97 · official $0.98 (match) · 11 history records