trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +84.2% | +66.7% | 82% | 82% | +74.4% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +8.0% | -2.3% | 50% | 50% | -3.6% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +8.0% | -2.3% | 50% | 50% | -3.6% |
| all | 22 | +8.0% | -2.3% | 50% | 50% | -3.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.3% | 50% | -3.6% |
| 10% | -11.6% | 45% | -12.9% |
| 15% | -20.2% | 45% | -21.3% |
| 20% | -28.0% | 41% | -29.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 45¢ | 76¢ | $84 | $143 | +$59 (+70%) |
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 30¢ | 34¢ | $84 | $94 | +$10 (+12%) |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 45¢ | 40¢ | $84 | $74 | −$10 (-12%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $44 | $53 | +$9 (+21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: France (-2.5) AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $46 | +$124 | +270% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $51 | +$53 | +105% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $20 | +$23 | +114% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $61 | +$82 | +135% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$22 | +73% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $20 | −$2 | -8% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $31 | +$26 | +84% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $18 | +$10 | +57% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $61 | +$79 | +128% |
| France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5 | Jun 16 | $30 | +$20 | +67% |
| Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Spread: Algeria (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Saudi Arabia finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Gr | Jun 16 | $85 | −$8 | -10% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $141 | −$140 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $142 | −$140 | -99% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $57 | −$56 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $29 | −$28 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $141 | +$61 | +43% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 09 | $1,413 | +$234 | +17% |