Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:07:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2673…7965
sports · 690 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$211 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$216 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$86
Realized+$216
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses233 / 442
Est. fees paid−$112
Open positions7
Markets (closed)675 / 690
History coverage58d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day57.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 7 History 675 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$118
7 days+$250
14 days+$306
30 days+$1,300
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Spurs 58¢ 60¢ $33 $35 +$1 (+3%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 63¢ 64¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+2%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score No 47¢ 52¢ $11 $13 +$1 (+10%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-13%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) Timberwolves 66¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic Ugo Humbert 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone Felix Auger-Aliassime 35¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 Yes 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Taylor Fritz 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Elmer Moeller 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmane Terence Atmane 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $45 +$48 +108%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $26 −$26 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Morocco leading at halftime? Jun 13 $4 +$3 +83%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +49%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $14 −$1 -6%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $9 $0 -3%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $28 −$15 -53%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $34 −$34 -98%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $10 −$9 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $3 +$9 +291%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $41 +$33 +82%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Fritz (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$10 +109%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$17 +325%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$14 +145%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 12 $16 +$11 +68%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $32 +$125 +397%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $9 +$41 +474%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $9 +$12 +140%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $25 +$30 +121%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5 Jun 10 $9 −$9 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 09 $28 +$36 +128%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $13 +$14 +109%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 08 $24 −$1 -4%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 08 $6 −$6 -98%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 07 $40 +$16 +39%
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Jun 07 $11 −$3 -27%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 07 $6 −$1 -13%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $23 +$15 +64%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $12 −$1 -8%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 07 $72 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -95%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $3 −$3 -97%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 05 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$8 +146%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 04 $29 −$29 -99%
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Jun 03 $1 +$1 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% −$635
world 28% +$356
other 14% +$526
crypto 4% −$3
politics 3% −$33
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 61¢ $3 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 63¢ $8 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $7 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $19 1h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 50¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $93 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $1 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $3 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY 14¢ $6 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 3h
Morocco leading at halftime? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 3h
Morocco leading at halftime? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 3h
Morocco leading at halftime? SELL Yes 75¢ $8 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 45¢ $3 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $1 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $2 3h
Morocco leading at halftime? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $1 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 3h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $5 4h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $4 4h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $4 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $7 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 41¢ $13 4h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $8 4h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $10 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-0.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +20.9% +9.4% 42% 40% +25.0%
≤30d 225 +52.6% +38.0% 41% 39% +28.6%
≤90d 675 +10.1% -0.4% 35% 32% -8.5%
all 675 +10.1% -0.4% 35% 32% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.4% 32% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -9.9% 31% -17.3%
15% -18.6% 29% -25.3%
20% -26.6% 26% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $85.76 · official $85.76 (match) · 3500 history records