Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:57:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2694…6ca9
crypto · 55 markets active 0h ago
6.0score
+$111 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$111 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$111
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses41 / 14
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)55 / 55
Avg bet$24
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$133
7 days+$133
14 days+$133
30 days+$133
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$17 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$28 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$15 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$10 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$9 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$20 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$17 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$16 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$9 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$12 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$32 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$12 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +21%
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Tom Gentzsch May 02 $27 −$3 -13%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $22 −$21 -99%
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Roman Andres Burruchaga May 02 $14 +$8 +55%
Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Roman Safiullin May 02 $11 +$7 +62%
Shymkent 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Manoj Dhamne Manas May 02 $25 −$25 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$133
sports 12% $0
other 2% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $35 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $25 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $59 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $41 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $13 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $41 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $59 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $44 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $16 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)-1.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +10.9% +0.4% 80% 76% +0.9%
≤30d 45 +10.9% +0.4% 80% 76% +0.9%
≤90d 55 +8.8% -1.5% 75% 71% -2.0%
all 55 +8.8% -1.5% 75% 71% -2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.5% 71% -2.0%
10% -11.0% 58% -11.4%
15% -19.6% 35% -20.0%
20% -27.5% 15% -27.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 121 history records