Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:47:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x2696…b896
crypto · 435 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$39 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses266 / 169
Open positions0
Markets (closed)435 / 435
History coverage56d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 435 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$13
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$26
other 2% −$13
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 167 +2.3% -7.5% 89% 50% -7.4%
≤30d 374 -4.1% -13.2% 65% 47% -10.0%
≤90d 435 -4.4% -13.5% 61% 44% -12.1%
all 435 -4.4% -13.5% 61% 44% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.5% 44% -12.1%
10% -21.8% 24% -20.5%
15% -29.4% 23% -28.2%
20% -36.3% 22% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $0.00 (match) · 1088 history records