Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:12:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x269f…54aa
crypto · 67 markets active 7h ago
5.0score
+$3 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses40 / 27
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage87d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Yes 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 +$10 +158%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Apr 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Apr 30 $36 −$22 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Apr 30 $20 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Apr 30 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Apr 30 $25 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Apr 30 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Apr 30 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Apr 30 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Apr 30 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Apr 30 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Apr 30 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Apr 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Apr 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Apr 25 $18 −$6 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Apr 25 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Apr 25 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Apr 25 $12 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Apr 25 $5 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Apr 25 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Apr 25 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Apr 25 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Apr 25 $1 $0 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Apr 25 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Apr 25 $8 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Apr 25 $15 +$7 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Apr 25 $8 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Apr 23 $8 +$19 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Apr 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Apr 23 $3 +$6 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Apr 23 $2 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Apr 23 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Apr 21 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Apr 02 $8 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Apr 01 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Mar 29 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Mar 29 $10 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Mar 29 $20 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Mar 29 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Mar 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Mar 23 $15 −$6 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Mar 23 $11 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Mar 23 $6 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Mar 23 $14 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Mar 23 $11 +$11 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Mar 23 $10 −$8 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Mar 23 $3 $0 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$6
sports 3% −$13
other 1% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $16 7h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $6 11h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $7 18h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $6 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $20 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $3 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $7 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $7 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $20 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $15 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $19 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $14 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 47d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $8 47d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -14.0% -22.2% 33% 33% -25.4%
≤30d 3 -14.0% -22.2% 33% 33% -25.4%
≤90d 67 +10.3% -0.2% 60% 52% -9.1%
all 67 +10.3% -0.2% 60% 52% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.2% 52% -9.1%
10% -9.7% 43% -17.8%
15% -18.4% 33% -25.7%
20% -26.4% 24% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 212 history records