Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:27:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
26 0x26a1…3b90 crypto 1902 markets active 4h ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (68 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$194 (-8%) realized −$194 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate75%1544W / 523L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day68.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$336
7 days−$340
14 days−$319
30 days−$346
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (68 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 471 -44.9% -50.2% 43% 31% -58.1%
≤30d 2067 -9.5% -18.1% 75% 51% -21.3%
≤90d 2067 -9.5% -18.1% 75% 51% -21.3%
all 2067 -9.5% -18.1% 75% 51% -21.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover68.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 51% -21.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.9% 25% -28.9%
15% -33.1% 10% -35.7%
20% -39.6% 4% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -19% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$194
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1544 / 523
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2067 / 1902
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day68.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2067 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records