Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T10:17:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
26 0x26a3…3b17 crypto 777 markets active 2h ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 24d only
✗ bot/MM pace (125 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,895 (-6%) realized −$1,895 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate42%369W / 518L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$44per market
Trades / day125.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,148
7 days−$1,940
14 days−$465
30 days−$620
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,732
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (125 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-25.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 436 -45.5% -50.7% 28% 28% -25.5%
≤30d 887 -17.8% -25.7% 42% 42% -11.0%
≤90d 887 -17.8% -25.7% 42% 42% -11.0%
all 887 -17.8% -25.7% 42% 42% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover125.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.7% 42% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -32.8% 42% -19.5%
15% -39.3% 42% -27.3%
20% -45.2% 42% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -18% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late -44% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$41 vs −$31 · ×1.35 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,895
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses369 / 518
Open positions0
Markets (closed)887 / 777
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$44
Trades / day125.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 887 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 20 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 20 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$10 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $53 −$53 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 20 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$10 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $53 −$53 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 20 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $34 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records