trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 10 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 40% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 40% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 19 | -4.1% | -13.3% | 58% | 0% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.3% | 0% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -21.6% | 0% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -29.1% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -36.1% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | No | 79¢ | 79¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 07 | $53 | +$1 | +2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 06 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $40 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 30 | $39 | +$1 | +2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 30 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 29 | $39 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 28 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 27 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $4 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Jul 24 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok? | Jun 28 | $9 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Urawa Red Diamonds win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 23 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | Apr 17 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 28? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | +0% |