Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:22:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x26b4…b8a9
sports · 440 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$117,491 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$120,294 · open +$2,804
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18,698
Realized−$120,294
Unrealized+$2,804
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses214 / 224
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$31,817
Open positions2
Markets (closed)438 / 440
History coverage69d
Avg bet$5,847
Trades / day32.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 438 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14,540
7 days−$47
14 days−$150,861
30 days−$172,377
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 64¢ $11,624 $11,533 −$91 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 76¢ $4,270 $7,165 +$2,894 (+68%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 53¢ 0¢ $8,225 $0 −$8,225 (-100%)
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Mai Hontama Yidi Yang 50¢ 0¢ $2,829 $0 −$2,829 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 47¢ 0¢ $4,693 $0 −$4,693 (-100%)
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Alvaro Guillen Meza 23¢ 0¢ $3,077 $0 −$3,077 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $8,698 $0 −$8,698 (-100%)
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire PortlandFire 20¢ 0¢ $3,669 $0 −$3,669 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 47¢ 0¢ $9,777 $0 −$9,777 (-100%)
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Mary Stoiana 55¢ 0¢ $5,772 $0 −$5,772 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 56¢ 0¢ $11,545 $0 −$11,545 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 54¢ 0¢ $10,410 $0 −$10,410 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $4,768 −$4,693 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $10,119 +$6,529 +64%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $15,192 −$13,588 -89%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa Jun 13 $10,359 −$632 -6%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $5,536 +$17,795 +321%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $5,849 −$5,772 -99%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $6,603 +$10,121 +153%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $8,570 +$3,046 +36%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $5,260 +$13,290 +253%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $384 −$85 -22%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $23,390 −$8,225 -35%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $22,934 +$10,786 +47%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $10,553 −$10,410 -99%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $9,709 −$612 -6%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10,669 +$11,522 +108%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $2,550 +$5,018 +197%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $8,844 −$8,698 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $9,913 −$9,777 -99%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $3,756 −$3,669 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $6,201 +$2,948 +48%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $6,559 −$353 -5%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $9,756 +$4,303 +44%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $15,286 +$11,011 +72%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $4,549 +$2,460 +54%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $5,445 +$2,712 +50%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $2,357 +$3,924 +166%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $7,568 −$423 -6%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $3,148 −$3,077 -98%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Mai Hontama Jun 11 $2,849 −$2,829 -99%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 11 $1,103 −$1,103 -100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 11 $1,217 −$1,217 -100%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 11 $513 −$513 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5) Jun 11 $2,002 −$2,002 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 11 $925 −$925 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 11 $2,359 −$2,359 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 11 $1,226 −$1,226 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $2,955 −$2,955 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 11 $2,036 −$2,036 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $4,000 −$3,496 -87%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 11 $3,596 −$3,596 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 11 $6,993 −$5,385 -77%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 11 $4,331 −$3,257 -75%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $3,440 −$3,440 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 11 $5,057 −$5,057 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $5,067 −$5,067 -100%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 11 $3,194 −$3,194 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 11 $6,284 −$6,284 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $4,868 −$4,868 -100%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 11 $5,831 −$5,831 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 11 $5,566 −$5,566 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$150,861
other 2% +$14,038
crypto 2% −$13,449
world 0% +$32,782
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $11,750 19m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 47¢ $4,768 42m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 100¢ $16,648 43m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 60¢ $10,119 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $4,341 2h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Detroit Tigers 23¢ $1,374 2h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 56¢ $1,738 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $821 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $3 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $170 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $1 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $49 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $1,305 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $96 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $4 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $1 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $2 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $1 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $8 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $225 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $452 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $199 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $1 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $25 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $4 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $3 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $195 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $2 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $1,490 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 75¢ $2 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 -11.2% -19.7% 40% 38% -9.1%
≤30d 254 -12.8% -21.1% 44% 44% -19.0%
≤90d 438 -3.5% -12.7% 49% 49% -13.7%
all 438 -3.5% -12.7% 49% 49% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 49% -13.7%
10% -21.1% 47% -22.0%
15% ← realistic here -28.7% 42% -29.5%
20% -35.7% 32% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18,698.05 · official $18,698.05 (match) · 2463 history records