Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x26b8…2d1f
crypto · 795 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$311 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$321 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$321
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses629 / 165
Open positions1
Markets (closed)794 / 795
History coverage58d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day18.4
Drawdown85%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 794 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$59
7 days+$133
14 days−$194
30 days+$298
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 61¢ 21¢ $15 $5 −$10 (-66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$11 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$11 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$11 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$19 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$29 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$29 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$6 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$311
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $15 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $15 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $15 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $20 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 +5.5% -4.6% 78% 76% -5.3%
≤30d 694 +1.8% -7.9% 79% 76% -8.2%
≤90d 794 +1.2% -8.4% 79% 73% -8.2%
all 794 +1.2% -8.4% 79% 73% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 73% -8.2%
10% -17.2% 42% -17.0%
15% -25.2% 18% -25.0%
20% -32.5% 8% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.04 · official $10.92 · 1776 history records