Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:06:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x26d6…cacc
sports · 22 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$24,616 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24,446 · open −$177
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$456
Realized−$24,446
Unrealized−$177
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses15 / 478
Whale WR (big bets)17%
Est. fees paid−$832
Open positions12
Markets (closed)493 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2,925
Trades / day3483.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 12 History 493 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24,446
7 days−$24,446
14 days−$24,446
30 days−$24,446
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 18¢ 100¢ $13 $73 +$60 (+452%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Flavio Cobolli 56¢ 50¢ $81 $73 −$8 (-10%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 38¢ 100¢ $26 $69 +$43 (+163%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 57¢ 57¢ $35 $35 +$0 (+1%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 57¢ 52¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-9%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 65¢ 68¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+6%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 36¢ 42¢ $18 $21 +$3 (+14%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 69¢ 66¢ $22 $21 −$1 (-5%)
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 84¢ 100¢ $16 $19 +$3 (+19%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 61¢ 58¢ $16 $16 −$1 (-4%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 67¢ 83¢ $12 $15 +$3 (+24%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 46¢ 17¢ $36 $13 −$23 (-63%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Zeynep Sonmez 54¢ 52¢ $11 $10 −$0 (-2%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 56¢ 60¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+6%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 49¢ 48¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 45¢ 48¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+6%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 41¢ 40¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 41¢ 42¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Felix Auger-Aliassime 73¢ 72¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Petr Brunclik 47¢ 32¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-33%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 65¢ 0¢ $72 $1 −$72 (-99%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 81¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$79 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jaqueline Cristian 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-18? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 12 $81 −$8 -10%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-04-25? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? Jun 12 $15 −$12 -80%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $539 −$598 -111%
Will Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $39 −$210 -536%
Will Watford FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -104%
Will Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 −$18 -162%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Jun 12 $253 −$351 -139%
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks Jun 12 $2 −$14 -610%
Valorant: SaD Esports vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Tianjin Pioneers Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-04-12? Jun 12 $12 −$11 -86%
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $3 −$28 -912%
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $6 −$8 -126%
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$7 -168%
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-05-29? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Jun 12 $2 −$3 -128%
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-17? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-04-10? Jun 12 $3 −$4 -114%
Will New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $14 −$21 -152%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -121%
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-12? Jun 12 $6 −$8 -148%
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-13? Jun 12 $28 −$31 -109%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-12? Jun 12 $2 −$5 -241%
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-19? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw? Jun 12 $618 −$1,067 -173%
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Hull City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-04-19? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17? Jun 12 $87 −$21 -25%
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $16 −$23 -150%
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-05-01? Jun 12 $2 −$3 -122%
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -104%
Will Odense BK vs. Randers FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -147%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $7 −$5 -75%
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $4 −$12 -315%
Will SD Eibar vs. SD Huesca end in a draw? Jun 12 $14 −$17 -129%
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-19? Jun 12 $7 −$10 -139%
Will Orlando City SC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw? Jun 12 $21 −$22 -108%
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Will FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK end in a draw? Jun 12 $9 −$23 -272%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% −$359
other 45% −$3,229
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 58¢ $3 3m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 60¢ $3 3m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 62¢ $3 3m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette SELL Magda Linette 37¢ $2 3m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 55¢ $3 4m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Vitaliy Sachko 75¢ $4 4m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 55¢ $3 4m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 51¢ $3 4m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 51¢ $3 4m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 52¢ $3 4m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 53¢ $3 4m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 51¢ $1 4m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 49¢ $2 4m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 69¢ $3 4m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 50¢ $2 4m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette SELL Magda Linette 36¢ $2 4m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette SELL Magda Linette 36¢ $2 4m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 42¢ $2 5m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 40¢ $2 5m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Vitaliy Sachko 70¢ $4 5m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Vitaliy Sachko 70¢ $4 5m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 50¢ $3 5m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 41¢ $2 5m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 58¢ $3 5m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 49¢ $2 5m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 48¢ $2 5m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 49¢ $2 5m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 49¢ $2 5m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 48¢ $2 5m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 48¢ $2 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-87.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 493 -86.5% -87.8% 3% 3% -27.8%
≤30d 493 -86.5% -87.8% 3% 3% -27.8%
≤90d 493 -86.5% -87.8% 3% 3% -27.8%
all 493 -86.5% -87.8% 3% 3% -27.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3483.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -87.8% 3% -27.8%
10% ← realistic here -88.9% 2% -34.7%
15% -90.0% 2% -41.0%
20% -91.0% 2% -46.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $455.85 · official $451.12 · 3500 history records