Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:56:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x26da…8a28
crypto · 187 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,273 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,700 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$1,700
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses102 / 84
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)186 / 187
History coverage1d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day1014.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 186 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,700
7 days−$1,700
14 days−$1,700
30 days−$1,700
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $20 $26 +$6 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $86 −$84 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $96 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $60 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $41 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$8 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$13 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$23 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $46 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$12 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $61 −$7 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $35 +$6 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$9 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$9 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $142 −$142 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $187 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $57 +$12 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,694
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 186 -3.3% -12.5% 55% 46% -23.2%
≤30d 186 -3.3% -12.5% 55% 46% -23.2%
≤90d 186 -3.3% -12.5% 55% 46% -23.2%
all 186 -3.3% -12.5% 55% 46% -23.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1014.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 46% -23.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 41% -30.5%
15% -28.5% 39% -37.2%
20% -35.5% 38% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.54 · official $23.74 · 1195 history records