Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:04:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x26e9…cd29
crypto · 368 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$924 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$601 · open −$323
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$106
Realized−$601
Unrealized−$323
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses161 / 205
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$75
Open positions2
Markets (closed)366 / 368
History coverage76d
Avg bet$109
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 366 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$223
14 days−$223
30 days−$223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $377 $69 −$308 (-82%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $53 $37 −$16 (-30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $604 $0 −$604 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $388 $0 −$388 (-100%)
76ers vs. Wizards Wizards 1¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1,068 $0 −$1,068 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $194 $0 −$194 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $214 $0 −$214 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $88 −$9 -10%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $220 −$214 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET May 12 $5 +$13 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET May 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET May 12 $15 +$13 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET May 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 11 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 11 $102 +$47 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 11 $51 +$23 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 11 $72 +$37 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 11 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 11 $31 +$9 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET May 11 $83 −$20 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET May 11 $31 +$22 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 11 $30 +$8 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 11 $10 +$4 +40%
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $102 −$100 -98%
New York Liberty vs. Washington Mystics May 10 $336 −$330 -98%
Knicks vs. 76ers May 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw? May 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? May 10 $1,097 −$1,068 -97%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $1,118 −$1,086 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 10 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 10 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 10 $102 +$49 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 10 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 10 $41 +$37 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 10 $31 +$36 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 10 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET May 10 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 10 $26 +$88 +336%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 10 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 10 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 10 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 10 $102 +$39 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 10 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET May 10 $102 +$43 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET May 10 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET May 10 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 10 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 10 $52 +$57 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 10 $51 +$23 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET May 10 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 10 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 10 $21 −$20 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$3,246
other 8% +$4,379
sports 7% −$2,057
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 0¢ $79 12m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $79 14m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $88 53m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $103 55m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $103 55m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $54 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 2¢ $103 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 1¢ $220 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $28 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $15 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $11 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $52 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $52 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $52 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $51 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $51 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $51 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 32d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -55.2% -59.5% 0% 0% -76.3%
≤30d 2 -55.2% -59.5% 0% 0% -76.3%
≤90d 366 -8.2% -16.9% 44% 39% -11.0%
all 366 -8.2% -16.9% 44% 39% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.9% 39% -11.0%
10% -24.9% 35% -19.6%
15% -32.1% 30% -27.3%
20% -38.8% 22% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $106.04 · official $106.04 (match) · 924 history records