Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

26
0x26eb…22d0
sports · 636 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$4,616 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,286 · open +$1,330
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$17,462
Realized+$3,286
Unrealized+$1,330
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses299 / 301
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$1,407
Open positions36
Markets (closed)600 / 636
Avg bet$508
Trades / day26.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 36 History 600 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,665
7 days+$6,334
14 days−$1,604
30 days−$4,996
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? No 90¢ 90¢ $7,155 $7,091 −$64 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? No 39¢ 42¢ $1,928 $2,069 +$142 (+7%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5 Under 29¢ 88¢ $397 $1,188 +$790 (+199%)
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Morocco 47¢ 48¢ $911 $936 +$25 (+3%)
Curaçao leading at halftime? No 96¢ 97¢ $723 $729 +$6 (+1%)
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Qatar 66¢ 70¢ $680 $722 +$42 (+6%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? No 84¢ 84¢ $711 $707 −$4 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Neither team to score first? No 87¢ 96¢ $507 $557 +$50 (+10%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Qatar 51¢ 52¢ $516 $521 +$5 (+1%)
Cabo Verde leading at halftime? No 95¢ 95¢ $477 $479 +$2 (+0%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 71¢ $392 $478 +$86 (+22%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Neither team to score first? No 88¢ 95¢ $359 $388 +$29 (+8%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Under 70¢ 80¢ $215 $246 +$31 (+14%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 5.5 Corners Under 19¢ 58¢ $57 $173 +$116 (+205%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 75¢ 92¢ $139 $172 +$33 (+24%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Corners Under 65¢ 66¢ $140 $143 +$3 (+2%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 3.5 Corners Under 53¢ 52¢ $146 $143 −$3 (-2%)
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 2.5 Corners Over 51¢ 50¢ $131 $127 −$4 (-3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 72¢ 91¢ $84 $107 +$22 (+26%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5 Corners Under 43¢ 40¢ $97 $91 −$6 (-6%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 3.5 Corners Under 61¢ 60¢ $80 $79 −$1 (-2%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 72¢ 78¢ $50 $54 +$5 (+9%)
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 72¢ 84¢ $43 $50 +$7 (+17%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 64¢ 74¢ $28 $32 +$4 (+15%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 35¢ 34¢ $26 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $611 −$611 -100%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $252 +$371 +147%
England vs. Costa Rica: England 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $536 +$1,905 +355%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 10 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $134 −$134 -100%
Slovenia leading at halftime? Jun 10 $29 +$1 +5%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1,818 +$113 +6%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $16 +$25 +158%
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $55 −$55 -100%
Spread: Colombia (-2.5) Jun 08 $182 +$118 +65%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $247 +$166 +67%
Will FC Ryūkyū win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $5 +$3 +52%
Spread: Cyprus (-1.5) Jun 08 $100 +$114 +114%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $3,370 +$3,497 +104%
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $31 −$31 -100%
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $63 −$63 -100%
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Jun 07 $89 −$89 -100%
El Salvador leading at halftime? Jun 07 $23 +$4 +18%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $112 +$24 +21%
Will El Salvador win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $167 +$33 +20%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $134 +$106 +79%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $323 +$222 +69%
Spread: Russia (-1.5) Jun 06 $64 −$64 -100%
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $240 −$240 -100%
Will Tochigi City FC win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $9 +$8 +86%
Will Reilac Shiga win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $20 +$5 +27%
Will Roasso Kumamoto win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $189 +$91 +48%
Albirex Niigata vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $530 +$470 +89%
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $8 +$10 +140%
Will Paraguay vs. Nicaragua end in a draw? Jun 06 $86 +$14 +16%
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $199 +$100 +50%
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5) Jun 06 $151 +$193 +128%
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $462 +$73 +16%
Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $174 −$174 -100%
Iraq leading at halftime? Jun 05 $596 +$40 +7%
Spread: Andorra (-1.5) Jun 05 $303 +$598 +197%
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $4,241 +$407 +10%
Dominican Republic leading at halftime? Jun 04 $21 +$3 +13%
Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $1,650 +$187 +11%
Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5) Jun 03 $70 +$80 +114%
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $588 +$484 +82%
Guam leading at halftime? Jun 03 $1,720 +$86 +5%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $992 +$62 +6%
Costa Rica leading at halftime? Jun 02 $1,153 +$97 +8%
Córdoba CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Córdoba CF (-1.5) Jun 01 $33 −$33 -100%
Will FC Imabari win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $173 −$173 -100%
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) Jun 01 $1,030 −$1,030 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 54% −$7,415
sports 46% +$12,031
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Under 65¢ $2 31m
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Under 65¢ $8 31m
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 35¢ $26 41m
Cabo Verde leading at halftime? BUY No 95¢ $477 46m
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Over 12¢ $16 47m
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Under 42¢ $44 2h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Under 61¢ $6 3h
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 25¢ $11 3h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Under 61¢ $75 3h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 84¢ $714 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 45¢ $4 3h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Under 65¢ $18 5h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Under 65¢ $28 5h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 Corners BUY Under 41¢ $9 6h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Under 65¢ $13 6h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Under 65¢ $21 6h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Under 65¢ $52 6h
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Over 52¢ $66 6h
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Over 51¢ $67 6h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Under 43¢ $4 6h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Under 43¢ $51 8h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY PortlandFire 45¢ $611 8h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Under 54¢ $6 9h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners BUY Under 65¢ $11 13h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Under 58¢ $11 13h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Under 57¢ $7 13h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Qatar 51¢ $53 13h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Qatar 51¢ $471 18h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Under 54¢ $38 18h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Under 53¢ $80 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +22.3% +10.6% 69% 63% +46.1%
≤30d 129 -0.2% -9.7% 58% 49% -16.3%
≤90d 462 -2.7% -12.0% 50% 47% -8.5%
all 600 +3.1% -6.7% 50% 44% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.7% 44% -8.6%
10% -15.6% 40% -17.3%
15% ← realistic here -23.8% 37% -25.3%
20% -31.2% 33% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17,461.87 · official $17,461.89 (match) · 3500 history records