trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 1 | +127.3% | +105.6% | 100% | 100% | +105.6% |
| all | 26 | -21.1% | -28.6% | 19% | 12% | +2.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.6% | 12% | +2.3% |
| 10% | -35.4% | 12% | -7.5% |
| 15% | -41.7% | 12% | -16.5% |
| 20% | -47.4% | 12% | -24.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $900 | $900 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 61¢ | 64¢ | $62 | $66 | +$4 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Bucks | Apr 06 | $5 | +$6 | +127% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 15 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Jul 15 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | May 15 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | May 15 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | May 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party? | May 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | May 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 25 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 16 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 09 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 08 | $7 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 03 | $2 | $0 | -9% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 02 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Apr 02 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Canucks vs. Hurricanes | Jan 13 | $136 | +$98 | +72% |
| Kraken vs. Blue Jackets | Jan 10 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Jan 09 | $130 | +$98 | +75% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |