Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:58:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x270a…1420
crypto · 439 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$315 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$320 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$320
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses127 / 309
Open positions3
Markets (closed)436 / 439
History coverage4d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day376.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 3 History 436 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$356
7 days−$320
14 days−$320
30 days−$320
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+84%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +625%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +61%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$9 +1241%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +218%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +51%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +206%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$262
other 3% −$53
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 34m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 34m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 34m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $0 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 48m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-34.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 436 -27.9% -34.8% 29% 28% -16.4%
≤30d 436 -27.9% -34.8% 29% 28% -16.4%
≤90d 436 -27.9% -34.8% 29% 28% -16.4%
all 436 -27.9% -34.8% 29% 28% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover376.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.8% 28% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -41.0% 23% -24.4%
15% -46.7% 21% -31.7%
20% -52.0% 17% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.32 · official $6.97 · 1681 history records