Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:31:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x2711…21d2
other · 5 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$16 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized+$19
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$19
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 39¢ 32¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-16%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $31 +$23 +75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 85% +$20
crypto 15% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 1h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 70¢ $29 15h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 15h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 27¢ $25 16h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 16h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $15 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.6% -10.1% 67% 67% +32.1%
≤30d 3 -0.6% -10.1% 67% 67% +32.1%
≤90d 3 -0.6% -10.1% 67% 67% +32.1%
all 3 -0.6% -10.1% 67% 67% +32.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 67% +32.1%
10% -18.7% 67% +19.4%
15% -26.5% 33% +7.9%
20% -33.7% 33% -2.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.74 · official $26.74 (match) · 12 history records