Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:55:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x2715…dfe3
crypto · 2012 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,427 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,248 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$1,248
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses1064 / 501
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1565 / 2012
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day624.3
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1565 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days+$1,248
14 days+$1,248
30 days+$1,248
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 52¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 51¢ 52¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,551
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 54m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 55m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 55m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)+17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1565 +29.7% +17.4% 68% 68% +14.3%
≤30d 1565 +29.7% +17.4% 68% 68% +14.3%
≤90d 1565 +29.7% +17.4% 68% 68% +14.3%
all 1565 +29.7% +17.4% 68% 68% +14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover624.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +17.4% 68% +14.3%
10% ← realistic here +6.2% 68% +3.4%
15% -4.1% 68% -6.6%
20% -13.5% 68% -15.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.35 · official $10.35 (match) · 3500 history records