Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:11:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
27 0x2716…6f87 crypto 276 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (121 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$11 (+1%) realized +$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate54%150W / 126L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day121.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (121 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 276 +7.2% -3.0% 54% 54% -9.0%
≤30d 276 +7.2% -3.0% 54% 54% -9.0%
≤90d 276 +7.2% -3.0% 54% 54% -9.0%
all 276 +7.2% -3.0% 54% 54% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover121.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.0% 54% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -12.3% 54% -17.7%
15% -20.8% 54% -25.6%
20% -28.6% 54% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late +5% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$5 · ×0.85 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses150 / 126
Open positions0
Markets (closed)276 / 276
History coverage4d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day121.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 276 Trades
no open positions (126 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$3 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$3 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$3 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$2 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 20 $2 +$3 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $2 +$3 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$3 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$3 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$3 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 20 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 20 $3 +$3 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $3 +$3 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 20 $2 +$3 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 20 $3 +$3 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 19 $2 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 19 $3 +$3 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$2 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$2 +96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $0 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $0 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 682 history records