Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T06:47:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
27 0x272c…d8c1 crypto 1751 markets active 0h ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 19d only
✗ bot/MM pace (91 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$20 (-1%) realized −$20 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%1740W / 49L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day90.5pace
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$62
7 days−$60
14 days−$62
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% +$3
other 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (91 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 850 -4.3% -13.5% 95% 0% -12.8%
≤30d 1789 -2.1% -11.4% 97% 0% -11.1%
≤90d 1789 -2.1% -11.4% 97% 0% -11.1%
all 1789 -2.1% -11.4% 97% 0% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover90.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 0% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 0% -19.6%
15% -27.6% 0% -27.3%
20% -34.7% 0% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.26 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1740 / 49
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1789 / 1751
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day90.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1789 Trades
no open positions (41 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 11PM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 11PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.01 · official $2.01 (match) · 3500 history records