Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:32:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x2732…986a
crypto · 211 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$375 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$382 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$36
Realized−$382
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses73 / 137
Open positions1
Markets (closed)210 / 211
Avg bet$15
Trades / day25.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 210 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$134
14 days−$418
30 days−$382
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Up 36¢ 44¢ $29 $36 +$7 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$22 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$9 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +63%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$7 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $32 −$31 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$23 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$23 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$8 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$23 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$7 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$12 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$15 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$7 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$16 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $48 +$36 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$42 +209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $76 −$15 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +50%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $31 −$16 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +84%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% −$534
finance 17% −$369
world 10% +$549
other 5% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2h
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 36¢ $25 3h
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 36¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $40 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $31 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $12 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-24.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 132 -8.6% -17.3% 40% 37% -18.1%
≤30d 210 -16.8% -24.7% 35% 33% -21.4%
≤90d 210 -16.8% -24.7% 35% 33% -21.4%
all 210 -16.8% -24.7% 35% 33% -21.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.7% 33% -21.4%
10% ← realistic here -31.9% 31% -28.9%
15% -38.5% 31% -35.8%
20% -44.5% 30% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.05 · official $36.05 (match) · 586 history records