trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 100% | 0% | -7.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +17.4% | +6.2% | 100% | 25% | +6.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +2.5% | -7.3% | 73% | 18% | -95.2% |
| all | 22 | -12.3% | -20.7% | 50% | 9% | -69.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.7% | 9% | -69.6% |
| 10% | -28.3% | 9% | -72.5% |
| 15% | -35.2% | 9% | -75.2% |
| 20% | -41.6% | 9% | -77.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | Yes | 85¢ | 84¢ | $28 | $28 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 94¢ | 99¢ | $19 | $20 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | Jun 17 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $44 | +$1 | +3% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | May 30 | $30 | +$20 | +65% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | May 29 | $30 | +$1 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 17 | $17 | +$1 | +8% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? | May 09 | $16 | $0 | +3% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 08 | $6 | +$14 | +245% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in April? | May 01 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Mar 29 | $2,000 | −$2,000 | -100% |
| Senators vs. Red Wings | Mar 24 | $1,774 | −$1,774 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Suns | Mar 22 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Pistons | Mar 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Lakers | Mar 22 | $1,645 | −$1,645 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Mar 22 | $27 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele | Mar 11 | $27 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February? | Feb 24 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Feb 23 | $255 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | Feb 12 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 06 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 16 | $2,005 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 16 | $52 | $0 | -0% |