Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:01:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x2742…db2e
sports · 4 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$9 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized+$4
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner T1 38¢ 100¢ $19 $50 +$31 (+163%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 75¢ 43¢ $20 $11 −$9 (-43%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 56¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $16 +$4 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 75¢ $20 2m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 56¢ $34 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 38¢ $19 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $16 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +25.8% +13.8% 100% 100% +13.8%
≤30d 1 +25.8% +13.8% 100% 100% +13.8%
≤90d 1 +25.8% +13.8% 100% 100% +13.8%
all 1 +25.8% +13.8% 100% 100% +13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +13.8% 100% +13.8%
10% +2.9% 100% +2.9%
15% -7.0% 0% -7.0%
20% -16.1% 0% -16.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61.47 · official $61.47 (match) · 5 history records