Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:04:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x2745…cccb
crypto · 166 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$25 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses98 / 64
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)162 / 166
History coverage21d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day33.1
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 162 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$31
14 days+$29
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 55¢ 62¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 52¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 56¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-11%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 64¢ 46¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-28%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 53¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 61¢ 54¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 63¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-21%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -49%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +58%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -45%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -28%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -60%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -70%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$20
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 +7.1% -3.1% 62% 52% -5.5%
≤30d 162 +4.8% -5.2% 60% 50% -7.2%
≤90d 162 +4.8% -5.2% 60% 50% -7.2%
all 162 +4.8% -5.2% 60% 50% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.2% 50% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -14.2% 39% -16.0%
15% -22.5% 28% -24.2%
20% -30.1% 18% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.07 · official $20.07 (match) · 835 history records