trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -55.2% | -59.5% | 0% | 0% | -44.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -9.4% | -18.0% | 29% | 29% | +3.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -16.0% | -24.0% | 33% | 33% | +1.5% |
| all | 29 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 52% | 21% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.7% | 21% | -11.5% |
| 10% | -24.7% | 17% | -20.0% |
| 15% | -31.9% | 10% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -38.6% | 7% | -34.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $139 | $135 | −$4 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan leading at halftime? | Jun 28 | $159 | −$17 | -10% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playof | Jun 21 | $73 | −$71 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo | Jun 20 | $34 | −$33 | -98% |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $47 | −$13 | -27% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo | Jun 20 | $61 | −$4 | -6% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla | Jun 19 | $121 | +$156 | +129% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 11 | $150 | +$73 | +48% |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | May 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs | May 15 | $98 | +$21 | +22% |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026 | Jan 18 | $23 | +$2 | +9% |
| Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament? | Sep 14 | $98 | −$98 | -100% |
| Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025? | Apr 11 | $27 | +$7 | +27% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025? | Jan 25 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season? | Jan 12 | $5 | +$3 | +61% |
| Will a Republican win Utah US Senate Election? | Jan 12 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Phil Foden win the Ballon d’Or? | Jan 12 | $35 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will macdegods be the biggest loser of The House Poker Night? | Jan 12 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump say "skibidi" before the election? | Jan 12 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will a Democrat win Oregon Presidential Election? | Jan 12 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jan 12 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election? | Jan 12 | $1 | $0 | +24% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Jan 12 | $110 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024? | Jan 12 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Pavel Durov released in August? | Nov 05 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Will $USDT depeg by September 30? | Nov 05 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Bournemouth wins the Premier League? | Sep 27 | $65 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025? | Sep 26 | $55 | −$5 | -9% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Sep 22 | $213 | $0 | -0% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Sep 22 | $10 | $0 | -4% |