Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T20:53:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
27 0x275f…baaf crypto 1795 markets active 1h ago coverage 34d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 33d only
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$1 (+0%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate75%1408W / 467L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day65.2pace
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$4now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$384
7 days−$376
14 days−$382
30 days−$494
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 85% −$138
other 15% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 337 -21.5% -29.0% 73% 6% -62.5%
≤30d 1607 -5.9% -14.9% 79% 16% -22.3%
≤90d 1875 -7.0% -15.8% 75% 19% -21.2%
all 1875 -7.0% -15.8% 75% 19% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.8% 19% -21.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 11% -28.7%
15% -31.2% 8% -35.6%
20% -38.0% 6% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
72% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$4
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1408 / 467
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1875 / 1795
History coverage34d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day65.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1875 Trades
no open positions (364 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 18 $0 −$1 -167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -178%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.67 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records