trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 18% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +4.2% | -5.7% | 33% | 7% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +4.2% | -5.7% | 33% | 7% | -10.2% |
| all | 24 | +3.0% | -6.8% | 46% | 4% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.8% | 4% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -15.7% | 4% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -23.8% | 4% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -31.3% | 4% | -33.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 15 | $60 | $0 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 14 | $37 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $40 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 12 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 10 | $64 | +$4 | +6% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 09 | $49 | −$6 | -13% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $2 | +$2 | +76% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 50°F or below on March 24? | Mar 24 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 23 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 21 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 16? | Mar 17 | $15 | $0 | +1% |