Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:48:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x2766…e9f1
crypto · 887 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$294 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$294 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$294
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses395 / 492
Open positions0
Markets (closed)887 / 887
History coverage156d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day12.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 887 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$3
14 days−$55
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$12 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 08 $15 −$5 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 08 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$295
other 0% +$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $21 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $9 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $8 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-26.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -12.9% -21.2% 52% 44% -7.7%
≤30d 118 -35.7% -41.8% 36% 30% -27.4%
≤90d 723 -32.9% -39.3% 37% 33% -36.1%
all 887 -18.3% -26.1% 45% 40% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.1% 40% -19.6%
10% -33.2% 34% -27.3%
15% -39.6% 28% -34.3%
20% -45.6% 21% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2429 history records