Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x2792…6891
crypto · 816 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$90 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses359 / 457
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)816 / 816
History coverage100d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 816 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$5 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$9 -39%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 +$2 +131%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -58%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 11 $1 −$1 -57%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -60%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -59%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 9? Jun 09 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 8? Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 $0 +8%
Istanbul: Elizara Yaneva vs Ayla Aksu May 04 $1 $0 -17%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Christ May 04 $1 $0 +3%
Francavilla: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Guy Den Ouden May 04 $1 $0 +5%
Istanbul: Polina Iatcenko vs Storm Hunter May 04 $1 $0 -14%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Noemi B May 04 $1 $0 +5%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Camila Osorio vs Anhelina May 04 $1 $0 +2%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Hugo May 04 $1 $0 +2%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Juan Martin vs Titouan Dro May 04 $1 $0 +10%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Dalma Galf May 04 $1 $0 +2%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Yue Yu May 04 $1 $0 -17%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Suzan Lame May 04 $1 $0 +2%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pin May 04 $1 $0 -14%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Alina Korneeva vs Ella Sei May 04 $1 $0 -11%
Istanbul: Donna Vekic vs Aliona Falei May 04 $1 $0 -14%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Stan May 04 $1 $0 +2%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo De May 04 $1 $0 +3%
Istanbul: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Alice Tubello May 04 $1 $0 +3%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leandro Riedi vs Vilius Ga May 04 $1 $0 -22%
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Renta Tokuda May 04 $1 $0 +2%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Jan Choin May 04 $1 $0 +2%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs J May 04 $1 $0 -12%
Wuxi: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Tianhui Zhang May 04 $1 $0 +3%
Wuxi: Jie Cui vs Alexis Galarneau May 04 $1 $0 -12%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs M May 04 $1 $0 +4%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Jesper d May 04 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$57
sports 11% −$16
other 5% −$3
weather 4% −$12
culture 3% $0
world 2% $0
finance 1% $0
tech 0% $0
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -5.9% -14.9% 52% 32% -7.7%
≤30d 25 -5.9% -14.9% 52% 32% -7.7%
≤90d 599 -9.4% -18.1% 49% 39% -15.8%
all 816 -9.2% -17.9% 44% 36% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 36% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 27% -24.0%
15% -32.9% 21% -31.3%
20% -39.5% 12% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2595 history records