Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x27ab…e521
other · 702 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$250,657 +615%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,147 · open −$9,139
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15,132
Realized−$9,147
Unrealized−$9,139
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses15 / 62
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions500
Markets (closed)77 / 702
History coverage1d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day2520.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 500 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,147
7 days−$9,147
14 days−$9,147
30 days−$9,147
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Yes 9¢ 90¢ $161 $1,587 +$1,426 (+885%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $1,362 $1,364 +$2 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? No 95¢ 96¢ $973 $984 +$11 (+1%)
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 97¢ 100¢ $861 $887 +$26 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? No 78¢ 92¢ $633 $740 +$107 (+17%)
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 73¢ 87¢ $452 $539 +$87 (+19%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 14? Yes 9¢ 71¢ $53 $412 +$359 (+681%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Yes 9¢ 62¢ $56 $376 +$320 (+577%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? Yes 9¢ 76¢ $44 $366 +$322 (+736%)
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $355? No 68¢ 46¢ $474 $326 −$148 (-31%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? No 94¢ 100¢ $268 $284 +$16 (+6%)
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 14? Yes 9¢ 92¢ $28 $284 +$256 (+912%)
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 32¢ 57¢ $148 $261 +$113 (+76%)
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 68¢ 97¢ $180 $257 +$77 (+43%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $237 $239 +$1 (+1%)
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 15? Yes 9¢ 81¢ $24 $213 +$189 (+796%)
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June? Yes 26¢ 27¢ $197 $207 +$10 (+5%)
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? Yes 9¢ 29¢ $64 $203 +$139 (+219%)
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $360-$365 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? Yes 9¢ 28¢ $64 $194 +$130 (+205%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $244 $194 −$51 (-21%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? Yes 9¢ 24¢ $56 $147 +$91 (+164%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $146 $146 +$1 (+0%)
Will Google (GOOGL) close at <$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? No 83¢ 92¢ $120 $133 +$13 (+11%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 14? Yes 9¢ 22¢ $53 $131 +$78 (+148%)
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 48¢ 90¢ $63 $116 +$53 (+85%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? Jun 12 $235 −$116 -49%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on Jun 12 $234 −$131 -56%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on Jun 12 $237 −$134 -56%
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day Jun 12 $241 −$126 -52%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $39 +$278 +711%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $783 −$466 -60%
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -94%
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $10 −$9 -90%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $2,273 −$1,962 -86%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? Jun 12 $77 −$42 -54%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $230-$235 on the final day of trading of t Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 13? Jun 12 $265 −$130 -49%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 13? Jun 12 $110 −$40 -36%
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 12 $2,996 −$2,953 -99%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 13? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 14? Jun 12 $503 −$202 -40%
Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 14? Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $156 +$1 +1%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $50 −$34 -67%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $50 −$15 -30%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $50 −$34 -68%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $50 −$40 -79%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $50 −$39 -79%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $50 −$36 -72%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $50 −$42 -85%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $49 −$40 -83%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading Jun 12 $25 −$17 -69%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 16? Jun 12 $96 −$49 -51%
Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 13? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $20 and $30 on June 13? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me Jun 12 $218 −$19 -9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me Jun 12 $218 −$51 -23%
Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Jun 12 $41 −$23 -57%
Will annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June? Jun 12 $22 −$16 -73%
Will annual inflation be 4.6% in June? Jun 12 $22 −$8 -38%
Will annual inflation be 4.5% in June? Jun 12 $22 −$16 -73%
Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June? Jun 12 $22 −$16 -74%
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June? Jun 12 $22 −$16 -73%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on Jun 12 $34 −$33 -97%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on Jun 12 $35 −$34 -95%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on Jun 12 $35 −$33 -94%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on Jun 12 $35 −$33 -93%
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day Jun 12 $35 −$34 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 14? Jun 12 $72 −$32 -45%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 14? Jun 12 $72 −$32 -45%
Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA Wor Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $20 −$15 -75%
Will George Washington Markert be the Republican nominee for Senate in Jun 12 $54 −$53 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 38% −$9,767
crypto 36% −$3,637
politics 12% −$3,462
weather 5% −$34
tech 3% −$723
economics 3% −$416
sports 1% −$151
finance 0% −$20
culture 0% $0
world 0% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 87¢ $8 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 0m
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day BUY No 99¢ $16 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on BUY No 80¢ $13 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on BUY No 98¢ $16 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY No 40¢ $7 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY No 98¢ $16 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY No 98¢ $16 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY No 86¢ $14 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY No 40¢ $3 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY No 98¢ $7 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day BUY No 99¢ $7 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY No 86¢ $7 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on BUY No 98¢ $7 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on BUY No 80¢ $6 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY No 97¢ $7 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 85¢ $17 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 2m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $190 2m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? BUY No 5¢ $11 2m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $200 2m
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 2m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-52.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -47.7% -52.7% 19% 6% -76.7%
≤30d 77 -47.7% -52.7% 19% 6% -76.7%
≤90d 77 -47.7% -52.7% 19% 6% -76.7%
all 77 -47.7% -52.7% 19% 6% -76.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2520.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -52.7% 6% -76.7%
10% ← realistic here -57.2% 6% -79.0%
15% -61.3% 6% -81.0%
20% -65.1% 6% -82.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15,132.10 · official $15,228.19 (match) · 3500 history records