Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:29:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x27b1…6a0b
sports · 849 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,960 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,879 · open −$83
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,031
Realized−$1,879
Unrealized−$83
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses512 / 251
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Est. fees paid−$405
Open positions86
Markets (closed)763 / 849
History coverage13d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day247.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 86 History 763 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,280
7 days−$4,110
14 days−$1,879
30 days−$1,879
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 52¢ 52¢ $592 $582 −$10 (-2%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 76¢ $402 $499 +$98 (+24%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 47¢ 66¢ $245 $347 +$102 (+42%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 96¢ $236 $266 +$31 (+13%)
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Haiti 82¢ 88¢ $237 $257 +$19 (+8%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 64¢ 64¢ $172 $172 +$1 (+0%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 36¢ 36¢ $173 $172 −$1 (-0%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Under 82¢ 98¢ $121 $143 +$23 (+19%)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Australia 70¢ 68¢ $112 $111 −$2 (-1%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? No 76¢ 81¢ $86 $93 +$7 (+8%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 24¢ $159 $88 −$71 (-44%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Under 76¢ 80¢ $79 $84 +$4 (+5%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score No 51¢ 60¢ $62 $74 +$11 (+18%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 46¢ $74 $72 −$2 (-3%)
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 44¢ $71 $71 −$0 (-1%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? No 84¢ 84¢ $59 $58 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $60 $57 −$2 (-4%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 56¢ $52 $50 −$2 (-4%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 48¢ 48¢ $45 $46 +$0 (+0%)
Türkiye leading at halftime? Yes 39¢ 40¢ $43 $44 +$2 (+4%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 84¢ 82¢ $45 $44 −$1 (-2%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 50¢ 52¢ $34 $35 +$1 (+4%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Yes 74¢ 72¢ $35 $34 −$1 (-2%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? No 49¢ 48¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $80 −$65 -81%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $9 +$2 +26%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $436 +$28 +6%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $951 −$608 -64%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $523 +$628 +120%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $98 +$39 +40%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 13 $93 +$13 +14%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $30 −$5 -18%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $50 −$49 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $62 −$61 -98%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $47 +$8 +17%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $542 +$29 +5%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $34 −$21 -62%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $353 −$72 -20%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $93 −$24 -26%
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Jun 13 $119 +$21 +17%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $745 −$102 -14%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $28 +$6 +22%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $127 −$126 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $187 +$30 +16%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $9 +$2 +18%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $36 −$35 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $560 −$16 -3%
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 13 $27 +$7 +26%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $256 +$27 +10%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,114 +$1,011 +91%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $11 +$47 +414%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $364 −$325 -89%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $25 −$25 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $98 +$45 +46%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $112 −$45 -40%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 12 $481 −$38 -8%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $852 −$477 -56%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $24 +$8 +31%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $48 −$26 -55%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $16 +$3 +18%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $108 −$11 -10%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $21 +$3 +13%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $68 −$17 -26%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $13 +$7 +54%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $76 −$57 -75%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $46 −$45 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $255 −$251 -98%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $25 +$2 +7%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 12 $110 −$3 -2%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $54 −$11 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$2,525
other 17% +$590
crypto 1% −$36
world 0% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Knicks 61¢ $2 58m
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Spurs 52¢ $3 59m
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Spurs 60¢ $3 59m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 60¢ $7 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $10 1h
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) BUY Knicks 54¢ $4 1h
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) BUY Knicks 55¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 23¢ $1 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $10 1h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 68¢ $9 1h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 68¢ $6 1h
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) BUY Spurs 48¢ $9 1h
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Knicks 27¢ $1 1h
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Knicks 31¢ $1 1h
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) BUY Knicks 23¢ $1 1h
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) BUY Spurs 48¢ $2 1h
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Knicks 35¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 47¢ $15 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 46¢ $15 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 82¢ $11 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 46¢ $9 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $6 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $23 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 78¢ $3 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $23 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 55¢ $17 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 54¢ $17 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 54¢ $16 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 55¢ $6 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 55¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 538 -18.7% -26.4% 54% 32% -19.4%
≤30d 763 -3.8% -13.0% 67% 41% -12.8%
≤90d 763 -3.8% -13.0% 67% 41% -12.8%
all 763 -3.8% -13.0% 67% 41% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover247.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 41% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 24% -21.1%
15% -28.9% 16% -28.8%
20% -35.9% 10% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,031.44 · official $4,032.72 (match) · 3500 history records