Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:01:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x27b6…dfe2
crypto · 556 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$961 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$961 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$961
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses294 / 262
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)556 / 556
History coverage96d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day21.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 556 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$229
7 days−$266
14 days−$266
30 days−$710
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants Kolkata Knight Riders 97¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $190 −$12 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $204 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $204 −$97 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $200 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $204 −$22 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$11 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $225 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $190 −$59 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $94 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $215 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$11 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $202 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $81 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $202 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $47 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $66 −$32 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$6 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$5 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $219 −$21 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $203 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$14 +243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 08 $62 −$40 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 08 $204 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 08 $44 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 30 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 30 $20 −$15 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 30 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 30 $9 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 30 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 30 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 30 $8 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$1,037
sports 7% +$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $127 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $137 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +5.2% -4.8% 51% 21% -16.2%
≤30d 279 +1.1% -8.6% 57% 28% -13.6%
≤90d 439 +0.3% -9.2% 52% 32% -13.9%
all 556 -1.4% -10.8% 53% 35% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 35% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 24% -22.3%
15% -27.1% 19% -29.8%
20% -34.3% 14% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2460 history records