Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x27c3…ddd8
crypto · 547 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$181 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$181 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$181
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses446 / 101
Open positions0
Markets (closed)547 / 547
History coverage42d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day22.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 547 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$181
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 +0.7% -8.9% 96% 1% -8.9%
≤30d 104 -26.4% -33.4% 68% 2% -12.3%
≤90d 547 -7.3% -16.1% 82% 43% -12.3%
all 547 -7.3% -16.1% 82% 43% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 43% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 9% -20.7%
15% -31.5% 1% -28.4%
20% -38.2% 1% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2176 history records