Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:51:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x27ce…f175
other · 254 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$85 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$96 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$96
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses9 / 245
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)254 / 254
History coverage136d
Avg bet$217
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$21
14 days−$35
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $119 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $320 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $328 −$2 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $184 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 13 $365 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $137 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $276 −$1 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $466 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $663 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $492 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $250 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $705 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $209 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $360 −$2 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $139 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $440 −$4 -1%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $144 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $221 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 10 $198 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $275 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $303 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $406 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $127 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $585 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $591 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $295 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $431 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $399 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $677 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 06 $547 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $326 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $288 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $223 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $213 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $289 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $207 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $714 −$2 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 03 $379 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $158 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $226 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $282 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 03 $276 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $141 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $192 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 02 $232 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $209 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 02 $320 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 01 $560 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 31 $205 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 31 $405 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% −$44
sports 23% −$20
politics 10% −$10
culture 6% −$7
economics 6% −$6
crypto 5% −$5
world 3% −$4
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $54 1h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $54 3h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $54 4h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $54 5h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $54 7h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $54 9h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $54 13h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $54 15h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $54 16h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $54 18h
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $54 19h
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $54 20h
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $54 25h
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $55 26h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $55 28h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $55 30h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $55 31h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $55 32h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $55 40h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $55 42h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $55 43h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $55 45h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $55 2d
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $55 2d
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $55 2d
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $55 2d
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $55 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 77 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 184 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
all 254 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1443 history records