Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:11:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
27 0x27dc…028a crypto 326 markets active 3d ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d only
✗ bot/MM pace (245 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$903 (-12%) realized −$903 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate54%177W / 152L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day244.8pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$151
14 days−$293
30 days−$351
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$319
other 2% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (245 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-20.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 162 -11.0% -19.4% 69% 51% -19.2%
≤30d 329 -12.5% -20.8% 54% 36% -13.7%
≤90d 329 -12.5% -20.8% 54% 36% -13.7%
all 329 -12.5% -20.8% 54% 36% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover244.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.8% 36% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.4% 22% -21.9%
15% -35.3% 12% -29.5%
20% -41.7% 5% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -14% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
9.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$6 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$903
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses177 / 152
Open positions0
Markets (closed)329 / 326
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$23
Trades / day244.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 329 Trades
no open positions (68 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 20 $0 −$1 -186%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$9 -158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $13 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $13 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$2 +17%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +11%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $13 +$2 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $13 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records