trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -47.3% | -52.3% | 33% | 33% | -45.4% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +61.4% | +46.0% | 25% | 25% | -16.5% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +19.6% | +8.2% | 24% | 24% | -24.2% |
| all | 25 | +19.6% | +8.2% | 24% | 24% | -24.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +8.2% | 24% | -24.2% |
| 10% | -2.1% | 24% | -31.5% |
| 15% | -11.6% | 20% | -38.1% |
| 20% | -20.2% | 16% | -44.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-53%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | Jun 29 | $26 | −$25 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | Jun 29 | $27 | −$25 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Jun 28 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Jun 28 | $26 | +$17 | +63% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | Jun 28 | $11 | −$5 | -44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Jun 28 | $10 | +$5 | +46% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$13 | +1290% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? | Jun 09 | $5 | +$40 | +776% |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev | May 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar | May 11 | $20 | +$7 | +32% |
| LoL: GAM Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season | Apr 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Apr 18 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Apr 18 | $5 | +$7 | +148% |
| BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan | Apr 16 | $15 | −$4 | -23% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Apr 11 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Hugo Gaston | Apr 10 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |