Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:28:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x27e6…3363
crypto · 821 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$700 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$755 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$755
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses466 / 355
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)821 / 821
History coverage184d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 0 History 821 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$25
14 days−$81
30 days−$110
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10? Yes 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02? Yes 75¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Metz win on 2026-01-04? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will NAC Breda vs. NEC end in a draw? Yes 78¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $34 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$2 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$15 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$10 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +57%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$2 -39%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $19 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $3 $0 -15%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 09 $8 +$1 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 09 $7 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 08 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 08 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 08 $6 −$5 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 08 $8 −$4 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 08 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 07 $45 +$18 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 07 $38 +$8 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 07 $24 +$13 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 07 $7 −$5 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 07 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 07 $25 +$5 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 54% −$693
other 23% +$119
sports 18% −$191
world 3% +$16
politics 2% −$7
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $40 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $33 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $18 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $11 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $9 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 40h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $4 40h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $6 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $7 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $14 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $14 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $6 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $9 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 46h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $17 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 65¢ $3 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -9.1% -17.7% 63% 55% -13.9%
≤30d 111 -6.8% -15.7% 63% 55% -17.7%
≤90d 362 -7.2% -16.1% 60% 53% -17.3%
all 821 -4.8% -13.9% 57% 50% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 50% -13.9%
10% -22.1% 37% -22.1%
15% -29.7% 24% -29.6%
20% -36.6% 15% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2021 history records