Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:51:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x27eb…b0c4
crypto · 657 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8,894 -43%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,894 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$8,894
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses493 / 557
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1050 / 657
History coverage5d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day581.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1050 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,949
7 days−$8,894
14 days−$8,894
30 days−$8,894
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+63%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$12 -260%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $542 −$542 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$7 -13226%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,988
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-42.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1050 -35.9% -42.0% 47% 31% -36.7%
≤30d 1050 -35.9% -42.0% 47% 31% -36.7%
≤90d 1050 -35.9% -42.0% 47% 31% -36.7%
all 1050 -35.9% -42.0% 47% 31% -36.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover581.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.0% 31% -36.7%
10% ← realistic here -47.6% 21% -42.8%
15% -52.6% 13% -48.3%
20% -57.3% 7% -53.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.00 · official $16.00 (match) · 3500 history records