Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x27f5…c45d
sports · 176 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,322 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$122 · open −$1,200
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,148
Realized−$122
Unrealized−$1,200
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses75 / 93
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Est. fees paid−$792
Open positions8
Markets (closed)168 / 176
History coverage18d
Avg bet$272
Trades / day39.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 8 History 168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$661
14 days−$1,361
30 days−$122
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Anubis Gaming 37¢ 36¢ $549 $529 −$20 (-4%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) G2 Esports 55¢ 56¢ $385 $388 +$3 (+1%)
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $204 $148 −$55 (-27%)
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $56 $55 −$1 (-2%)
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $46 $26 −$20 (-43%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 35¢ 0¢ $424 $1 −$423 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 56¢ 0¢ $452 $0 −$452 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 58¢ 0¢ $232 $0 −$232 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars Academy 48¢ 0¢ $339 $0 −$339 (-100%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) Gen.G 34¢ 0¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) Leviatan Esports 38¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Natus Vincere 42¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOUD 49¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2 FURIA Esports 45¢ 0¢ $225 $0 −$225 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 58¢ 0¢ $671 $0 −$671 (-100%)
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) KT Rolster 56¢ 0¢ $336 $0 −$336 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 33¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 41¢ 0¢ $164 $0 −$164 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 27¢ 0¢ $236 $0 −$236 (-100%)
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner paiN Gaming 41¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Sentinels 49¢ 0¢ $317 $0 −$317 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner paiN Gaming 49¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 24¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 28¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 36¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $212 −$212 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $224 −$220 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $351 −$348 -99%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $183 −$180 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $207 +$191 +92%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $203 +$197 +97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $344 +$356 +103%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $342 +$258 +75%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $192 −$192 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $291 +$308 +106%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $213 −$210 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $126 −$126 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $213 +$107 +50%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $193 −$192 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $204 +$444 +217%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $196 +$354 +180%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $139 +$261 +188%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $284 −$284 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $225 −$220 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $346 −$342 -99%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $220 +$180 +82%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $113 +$87 +77%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $120 −$120 -100%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $306 −$145 -47%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $284 +$366 +129%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $280 −$276 -98%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $161 +$139 +86%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $229 −$228 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $357 +$642 +180%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $178 −$178 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $199 +$201 +101%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $141 −$140 -99%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $241 −$236 -98%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $136 −$136 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $560 −$556 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $231 +$169 +73%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $160 −$160 -100%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $218 −$1 -1%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $411 +$449 +109%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) Jun 09 $113 +$97 +86%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $285 +$714 +251%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $240 −$236 -98%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $96 −$96 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $454 +$595 +131%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $239 −$237 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $98 −$96 -98%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $185 +$2 +1%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $232 −$229 -99%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $210 −$207 -98%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $188 +$262 +139%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$1,245
other 1% −$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 36¢ $147 32m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 38¢ $387 32m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 36¢ $26 34m
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $103 44m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 29¢ $116 56m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 34¢ $68 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 34¢ $0 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 40¢ $244 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 58¢ $228 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 58¢ $4 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 50¢ $203 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $255 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 53¢ $23 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 53¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 53¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 53¢ $26 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 53¢ $77 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 53¢ $11 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 53¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 53¢ $53 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 44¢ $224 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $72 3h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 45¢ $183 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $279 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 52¢ $27 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 52¢ $92 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 52¢ $2 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 52¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 52¢ $85 6h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 48¢ $192 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -9.9% -18.5% 41% 40% -12.1%
≤30d 168 -3.1% -12.3% 45% 44% -9.8%
≤90d 168 -3.1% -12.3% 45% 44% -9.8%
all 168 -3.1% -12.3% 45% 44% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 44% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 44% -18.4%
15% -28.4% 44% -26.3%
20% -35.4% 43% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,148.40 · official $1,148.40 (match) · 781 history records