trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -8.2% | -17.0% | 0% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 20% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 20% | 0% | -10.4% |
| all | 27 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 48% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | No | 93¢ | 94¢ | $26 | $26 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 22 | $3 | $0 | -16% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 17 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 26 | $33 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 25 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people? | Dec 23 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Jun 26 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | May 21 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority? | May 17 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | May 17 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | May 15 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2025? | May 14 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 4-1? | May 11 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? | May 11 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | May 11 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 10 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Minnesota Vikings? | May 09 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference? | May 09 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | May 08 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | May 08 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City | May 08 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files? | May 07 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Péter Erdő be the next pope? | May 03 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 30 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference? | Apr 28 | $13 | $0 | +1% |