Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x2801…ebdc
crypto · 1507 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$334 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$304 · open −$30
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71
Realized−$304
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses900 / 584
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions26
Markets (closed)1484 / 1507
History coverage13d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day155.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 26 History 1484 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days−$1,201
14 days−$304
30 days−$304
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 58¢ 100¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+71%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 66¢ 72¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+8%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Misa Esports 68¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+47%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner G2 NORD 86¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+16%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 74¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+35%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 68¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$2 (+47%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 84¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+19%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 83¢ 86¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 72¢ 69¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 64¢ 64¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 61¢ 62¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Andrea Guerrieri 53¢ 48¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-10%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 45¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Eintracht Spandau 62¢ 34¢ $3 $2 −$2 (-44%)
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur 55¢ 27¢ $3 $2 −$2 (-51%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 49¢ 22¢ $3 $1 −$1 (-55%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner GenOne 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 1PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$2 +41%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $11 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $4 +$2 +41%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$3 +105%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +19%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $4 +$2 +57%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$5 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +23%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 12 $3 +$2 +72%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $3 +$2 +61%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$3 +92%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +30%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +75%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +26%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$402
sports 6% +$80
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 20m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 62¢ $3 29m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 53¢ $3 40m
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Clement Tabur 55¢ $3 41m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 79¢ $4 56m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 82¢ $4 58m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 45¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 54¢ $3 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 68¢ $4 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 54¢ $3 1h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 64¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 60¢ $3 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 61¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $4 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 57¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $13 1h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $13 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 1h
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 84¢ $5 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 72¢ $4 1h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 76¢ $4 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $14 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner BUY GenOne 87¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 72¢ $4 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 69¢ $4 2h
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 70¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 469 -41.9% -47.4% 35% 29% -40.3%
≤30d 1484 -1.7% -11.1% 61% 55% -11.8%
≤90d 1484 -1.7% -11.1% 61% 55% -11.8%
all 1484 -1.7% -11.1% 61% 55% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover155.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 55% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 45% -20.2%
15% -27.3% 33% -27.9%
20% -34.5% 23% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $71.10 · official $69.51 · 3500 history records