Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:07:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x2806…36e7
crypto · 26 markets active 456d ago
0.0score
+$276,702 +37%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$276,702 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Net worth$0
Realized+$276,702
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses17 / 9
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)26 / 26
History coverage9d
Avg bet$28,529
Trades / day347.9
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ripple above $2.45 on March 14? Apr 21 $8 −$3 -38%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? Apr 21 $96,944 +$1,149 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31? Apr 21 $568 −$491 -86%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31? Apr 21 $118,089 −$7,278 -6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31? Apr 21 $20,440 −$1,280 -6%
Will XRP dip to $1.70 in March? Apr 21 $10,622 −$10,608 -100%
Will Solana dip to $100 by March? Apr 21 $14,675 −$14,658 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? Apr 21 $59,496 −$18,487 -31%
Will Solana hit $190 in March? Apr 21 $18,600 +$9,289 +50%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31? Mar 13 $8,860 −$89 -1%
Will Solana hit $210 in March? Mar 13 $6,379 +$203 +3%
Solana above $145 on March 14? Mar 12 $3,943 +$105 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800.00 by March 31? Mar 11 $10,786 +$11,472 +106%
Will XRP dip to $1.90 in March? Mar 11 $7,718 +$49,689 +644%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900.00 by March 31? Mar 10 $7,889 +$4,163 +53%
Will XRP dip to $2.00 in March? Mar 10 $5,665 +$40,840 +721%
Will Solana dip to $120 in March? Mar 10 $15,290 +$51,191 +335%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 again by March 31? Mar 10 $28,618 +$5,490 +19%
Will XRP dip to $2.10 in March? Mar 09 $3,682 +$46,877 +1273%
Will Solana dip to $130 in March? Mar 09 $9,267 +$78,155 +843%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 7? Mar 07 $4,113 −$68 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 7? Mar 07 $61,635 +$17,606 +29%
Ripple above $2.15 on March 7? Mar 07 $1,860 +$151 +8%
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7? Mar 07 $39,538 +$857 +2%
Solana above $145 on March 7? Mar 07 $139,096 +$9,491 +7%
Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7? Mar 07 $47,967 +$2,934 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$276,555
other 0% +$148
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31? SELL Yes 40¢ $11,272 456d
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31? SELL Yes 39¢ $2 456d
Will Solana hit $190 in March? BUY Yes 11¢ $15 456d
Will Solana hit $190 in March? BUY Yes 11¢ $100 456d
Will Solana hit $190 in March? BUY Yes 11¢ $100 456d
Will Solana hit $190 in March? BUY Yes 10¢ $33 456d
Will Solana hit $190 in March? BUY Yes 11¢ $79 456d
Will XRP dip to $1.70 in March? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 456d
Will XRP dip to $1.70 in March? BUY Yes 36¢ $106 456d
Ripple above $2.45 on March 14? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 456d
Will Solana dip to $100 by March? BUY Yes 43¢ $0 456d
Will Solana dip to $100 by March? BUY Yes 45¢ $697 456d
Will Solana dip to $100 by March? BUY Yes 44¢ $122 456d
Will Solana dip to $100 by March? BUY Yes 44¢ $166 456d
Will Solana dip to $100 by March? BUY Yes 42¢ $76 456d
Will Solana dip to $100 by March? BUY Yes 42¢ $17 456d
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31? BUY No 66¢ $412 457d
Will Solana dip to $100 by March? BUY No 60¢ $10 457d
Will Solana hit $190 in March? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 457d
Will Solana hit $190 in March? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 457d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31? BUY Yes 15¢ $9 457d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31? BUY Yes 15¢ $12 457d
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? BUY No 75¢ $113 457d
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31? BUY Yes 30¢ $187 457d
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? BUY No 75¢ $148 457d
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? BUY No 74¢ $1,184 457d
Will Solana hit $190 in March? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 457d
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? BUY No 73¢ $146 457d
Will Solana hit $190 in March? BUY Yes 10¢ $0 457d
Will Solana hit $210 in March? BUY Yes $28 457d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+120.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 26 +143.6% +120.4% 65% 38% +24.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover347.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +120.4% 38% +24.2%
10% +99.3% 35% +12.3%
15% ← realistic here +80.0% 31% +1.5%
20% +62.4% 27% -8.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records